September 27, 2023

After snapping a five-game losing streak, the Green Bay Packers will try to get back into the NFC playoff pictyre when they take on the AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans at Lambeau Field on Thursday night Football. The Packers (4-6), who won the NFC North title the past three years, rallied past the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday to post a 31-28 win in overtime. The Titans (6-3), who have won the AFC South the past two seasons, rallied from a 10-point deficit to defeat the Denver Broncos in Week 10. The teams are meeting for the second time in three years. Green Bay won the last meeting, 40-14 at Lambeau Field in 2020.

Kickoff from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Green Bay is a 3-point favorite in the latest Titans vs. Packers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 41. Before making any Packers vs. Titans picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 153-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Titans vs. Packers and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 11 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Titans: 

  • Titans vs. Packers spread: Green Bay -3
  • Titans vs. Packers over/under: 41 points
  • Titans vs. Packers money line: Titans +140, Packers -165
  • TEN: Titans are 7-0 against the spread in their last seven games overall
  • GB: Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight Thursday games
  • Titans vs. Packers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Green Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans

Why the Packers can cover

Despite a down season, quarterback Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 2,315 yards and 17 touchdowns on 219 of 337 passing (65%). In Sunday’s win over the Dallas Cowboys, Rodgers threw a season-high three TD passes on 14 of 20 attempts (70%) for a rating of 146.7. He has yet to throw for 300 yards this season, but has thrown for 57,675 yards and 466 touchdowns in his career.

Running back Aaron Jones may be the Packers’ biggest weapon on offense. He leads the team in rushing, carrying 131 times for 738 yards (5.6 average) and two touchdowns, with 34 receptions for 228 yards (6.7 average) and three scores. He has seven explosive plays, including five on the ground, with a long of 36 yards. He has converted 49 first downs, including 37 rushing. Against Dallas, he carried 24 times for 138 yards (5.8 average) and a score. See which team to pick here.

Why the Titans can cover

Despite that, the Packers are not a lock to cover the Titans vs. Packers spread. That’s because Tennessee has not allowed more than 20 points in any game since Week 3 and is led by an opportunistic defense that has 13 takeaways, a plus-three turnover differential, and 29 sacks. Defensive end Denico Autry leads the Titans with seven sacks for 53 yards with six tackles for loss, two pass breakups and one forced fumble. He has 20 tackles, including 12 solo.

The offense is led by running back Derrick Henry, who has been hard to stop and could surpass the 1,000-yard rushing mark against Green Bay. It would be the fourth time in his career he has done that and the first since 2020, when he rushed for 2,027 yards. For the year, Henry has carried 202 times for 923 yards (4.6 average) and nine touchdowns. He has seven big plays of 20 or more yards, including a season-high 56-yarder. He has also caught 16 passes for 154 yards (9.6 average). See which team to pick here.

How to make Titans vs. Packers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the point total. In fact, it’s calling for 41 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Packers vs. Titans on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Titans spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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