November 26, 2022

Despite struggling badly in last week’s blowout loss to the Bengals, quarterback P.J. Walker will start for the Carolina Panthers when they host the rival Atlanta Falcons in the Week 10 Thursday Night Football game at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. Last Sunday, the 27-year-old Walker completed just 3-of-10 passes for nine yards with two interceptions before being pulled at halftime with the Panthers (2-7) trailing 35-0. Afterwards he admitted to making “boneheaded mistakes.” One day later, interim coach Steve Wilks said Walker would start on Thursday Night Football against the Falcons (4-5), who are tied for the lead in the division. 

Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET. Atlanta is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Panthers vs. Falcoms odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the over/under for total points scored is 41.5. Before making any Falcons vs. Panthers picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 151-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Panthers vs. Falcons and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 10 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Falcons vs. Panthers: 

  • Panthers vs. Falcons spread: Atlanta -2.5
  • Panthers vs. Falcons over/under: 41.5 points
  • Panthers vs. Falcons money line: Atlanta -145, Carolina +122
  • ATL: Falcons rank fourth in rushing yards per game (162.9)
  • CAR: DE Brian Burns ranks eighth in pressures (36)
  • Panthers vs. Falcons picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons

Why the Falcons can cover

Atlanta’s ground game continues to roll. Tyler Allgeier (423 rushing yards), Cordarrelle Patterson (384) and Caleb Huntley (299) have given the Falcons a deep and balanced backfield. Behind those three backs, Atlanta averages 162.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth in the league.

In addition, Falcons quarterback Marcus Mariota had his best game of the season the last time these teams met. On Oct. 30, he set season-highs in completion percentage (71.4), passing yards (253) and passing touchdowns (three) in the 37-34 win. His 20 completions tied a season-high. See which team to pick here.

Why the Panthers can cover

Carolina’s P.J. Walker had arguably the best game of his career in the previous matchup against Atlanta. On Oct. 30, Walker completed 19-of-36 passes for a career-high 317 yards and a touchdown against only one interception. His previous career-high in passing yards was 258 against the Lions in 2020.

In addition, the Panthers face an Atlanta defense that has struggled on third down this season. The Falcons allow opponents to convert 47.5% of their third downs. Just three defenses – the Raiders (48.0), Bears (50.5) and Lions (51.0) – are worse on third down. See which team to pick here.

How to make Panthers vs. Falcons picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the point total. In fact, it’s calling for 44 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Falcons vs. Panthers on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Panthers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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