December 7, 2022

Wells Fargo Center showcases top-flight NBA action on Thursday. The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Philadelphia 76ers in a spotlight matchup. It is the season opener for Milwaukee, with Philadelphia losing to the Boston Celtics in its first game on Tuesday. Both teams won 51 games last season, with each falling in the second round of the 2022 NBA playoffs. Khris Middleton (wrist) is sidelined for the Bucks.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Philadelphia as the 4-point home favorite in this 7:30 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 224 in the latest Bucks vs. 76ers odds. Before making any 76ers vs. Bucks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model went a stunning 88-60 on all top-rated NBA picks last season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Sixers and locked in its NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Sixers vs. Bucks:

  • Bucks vs. 76ers spread: 76ers -4
  • Bucks vs. 76ers over/under: 224 points
  • Bucks vs. 76ers money line: 76ers -180, Bucks +152
  • MIL: The Bucks are 27-20 against the spread in the last 47 road games
  • PHI: The 76ers are 21-26 against the spread in the last 47 home games
  • Bucks vs. 76ers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee has two-way strengths, with Giannis Antetokounmpo starring on both sides of the floor. The two-time NBA MVP anchors a defense that allowed only 1.11 points per possession last season, and the Bucks finished at No. 2 in the NBA with a 74.7% defensive rebound rate. Opponents shot only 45.6% from the field against Milwaukee in 2021-22, and the Bucks were in the top five of the league in free throw prevention, yielding fewer than 20 attempts per game. 

On offense, Antetokounmpo averaged 29.9 points and shot 55.3% from the field, with the Bucks ranking in the top five of the NBA in offensive efficiency at 114.3 points per 100 possessions. Milwaukee was also in the top 10 in 3-point accuracy (36.6%), 3-pointers (14.1 per game), free throw attempts (22.9 per game) and turnover rate (13.3%). With Jrue Holiday coming off a season in which he averaged 18.3 points per game with top-shelf defense, the Bucks have potency inside and outside of the paint.

Why the 76ers can cover

Philadelphia lost its season opener, but that defeat came in Boston against a top-flight team. The 76ers also shot 50% from the field and 38% from 3-point range on Tuesday, including a 35-point effort from James Harden. Philadelphia won 51 games last season with above-average efficiency metrics on both offense and defense. The 76ers are elite at creating free throw attempts, including 23.8 per game last season, and Philadelphia shot the best percentage (82.1%) of any NBA team at the line. 

The 76ers were also in the top seven of the league in 3-point accuracy (36.4%), with top-tier defensive numbers in steals (7.7 per game), blocked shots (5.3 per game), assists allowed (23.7 per game) and 3-point defense (34.6%). Philadelphia also has one of the best players in the NBA in Joel Embiid, with the four-time All-NBA big man coming off a scoring title (30.6 points per game) and an MVP runner-up finish in 2021-22.

How to make 76ers vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 225 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. 76ers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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